This prediction shows my estimated marathon finishing time based on times in previous, shorter races. The table is sorted by most recent race date, since it’s more likely to be an accurate indicator of my current fitness. The times were found using the McMillan Running Calculator.
| Race | Date | Actual | 5K | 4mi | 5mi | 13.1mi | Marathon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.1mi | 7/27/2008 | 1:29:48 | 0:19:26 | 0:25:25 | 0:32:12 | 3:09:23 | |
| 5mi | 6/4/2008 | 0:32:04 | 0:19:21 | 0:25:19 | 1:29:27 | 3:08:38 | |
| 5K | 5/31/2008 | 0:19:04 | 0:24:56 | 0:31:36 | 1:28:08 | 3:05:53 | |
| 4mi | 4/21/2008 | 0:25:16 | 0:19:19 | 0:32:01 | 1:29:18 | 3:08:19 |
I read this table as saying that I’m comparatively better at shorter distances than longer ones. :(
[...] Prediction Table [...]